Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Yonhap News Agency: Kim Sang-wook, a member of South Korea's ruling party, expressed his support for impeaching President Yin Xiyue.Low-priced stocks continued to be active in Shanzi Hi-Tech for 7 days and 6 boards. Low-priced stocks continued to be active in Shanzi Hi-Tech for 7 days and 6 boards. Huayuan Real Estate, Smith Barney and wenfeng shares had daily limit, while yongtai energy, Rong Sheng Development and Baotou Steel Co., Ltd. followed up.
Wan Liyang: The aluminum alloy die-casting project invested and built by the company in Jiangshan, Zhejiang Province has been put into production. Wan Liyang said on the interactive platform on December 10th that the aluminum alloy die-casting project invested and built by the company in Jiangshan, Zhejiang Province has been put into production.Yi Yatong once again won the bid for the service project of the supplier of the material supply platform of China Post Group Co., Ltd., and recently, Yi Yatong won the bid for the service project of the supplier of the material supply platform of China Post Group Co., Ltd. again. The winning categories in this project include 60 categories and 628 subcategories of commodities and related services such as grain and oil seasoning, kitchen and bathroom appliances, cleaning products, office equipment, home textile products and daily necessities; The service scope is China Post Group Co., Ltd. and its subordinate institutions at all levels, including the headquarters of the group company, branches in all provinces (including autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government), delivery departments, holding subsidiaries, directly affiliated units and their internal or subordinate branches at all levels.China's trade account in November was 97.44 billion yuan in US dollars, with an expected 93.5 billion yuan and a previous value of 95.72 billion yuan.
Russian diplomat: The Security Council will release documents related to Syria in the "next few days". According to a report by the Russian satellite agency on December 10, Russian Permanent Representative to the United Nations Vasily Niebianjia said on December 9 that members of the UN Security Council discussed the necessity of formulating a document related to the situation in Syria in closed-door consultations on December 9, which may be released in the next few days. According to the report, Nie Bianjia pointed out: "We discussed the necessity of the Security Council to formulate a document. No one is ready today, but I think we will see it in the next few days, and hope that the sooner the better. " Commenting on the fate of Russian troops staying in Syria after the regime change in Syria, Niebianjia added that this question was asked to the wrong person. Nie Bianjia said in response to a reporter's question on this topic: "You asked the wrong person." (Reference message)FTSE China A50 index futures fell to 3%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13